UK Sanctions Force Major Oil Sellers to Abandon Chinese Refiner Yulong, Potentially Boosting Russian Oil Dependence
In a dramatic turn of events, several major oil suppliers have abruptly severed ties with China’s Yulong Petrochemical, following the UK’s recent sanctions on the refiner. But here’s where it gets controversial: this move could inadvertently push Yulong deeper into reliance on Russian crude, a development that raises significant geopolitical questions. Could this be an unintended consequence of Western sanctions, or a calculated risk in the global energy chess game? Let’s dive in.
The Backstory: Yulong Petrochemical, China’s newest and one of its largest oil refiners, with a capacity of 400,000 barrels per day, has been a significant buyer of Russian oil. However, the UK’s decision to sanction Yulong as part of its efforts to curb Moscow’s oil revenues—used to fund the Ukraine war—has sent shockwaves through the industry. Major players like TotalEnergies, BP, Saudi Aramco, Kuwait Petroleum Corp, and PetroChina International have begun unwinding their supply deals, according to multiple sources familiar with the transactions.
The Immediate Impact: Most cancellations involve spot cargoes scheduled to load after November 13, when the sanctions take effect. Notably, Kuwait Petroleum and Saudi Aramco have scrapped two shipments of 2 million barrels each. PetroChina International and TotalEnergies have also exited deals to supply Access Western Blend, a Canadian heavy crude. While BP and Aramco declined to comment, other companies remained silent on the matter.
The Russian Pivot: With access to non-sanctioned crude dwindling, Yulong is likely to increase its purchases of Russian oil, which already accounts for about half of its intake. Traders and analysts estimate Yulong buys between 150,000 and 250,000 barrels per day of Russian crude, primarily the ESPO Blend from Russia’s Pacific coast, favored for its shorter transit time. Recently, Yulong has also imported Urals crude from Russia’s European ports, according to industry insiders.
And this is the part most people miss: the decision to cancel contracts isn’t just about compliance with sanctions. It’s also driven by concerns over payment processing, as major Western banks are reluctant to engage with sanctioned entities. This financial bottleneck could further isolate Yulong, leaving Russian oil as one of its few viable options.
The Broader Implications: The situation echoes India’s Nayara Energy, partially owned by Russian giant Rosneft, which reduced refinery operations after EU sanctions in July. Nayara now imports oil exclusively from Russia. While larger companies with UK ties are stepping away from Yulong, smaller firms without such connections may continue their dealings, according to an unnamed executive whose company remains a supplier.
The Controversial Question: Is the West’s strategy to isolate Russia’s oil revenues inadvertently strengthening China’s energy ties with Moscow? As Yulong pivots more toward Russian crude, it raises concerns about the effectiveness of sanctions and their unintended consequences. Could this backfire, giving Russia a new lifeline in the global oil market?
Built on a man-made island near Yantai in Shandong province, Yulong is a joint venture between private aluminum firm Nanshan Group and state-backed Shandong Energy Group. Its growing dependence on Russian oil underscores the complex interplay between geopolitics, energy security, and economic interests.
What do you think? Are Western sanctions achieving their intended goals, or are they creating new challenges in the global energy landscape? Share your thoughts in the comments below!